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- MINIPROP (TM)
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- Ionospheric Propagation Predictions
- Version 2.0
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- A User-Supported Program
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- Copyright 1985, 1987 by Sheldon C. Shallon, W6EL
- Protected by Federal Copyright Law.
- Permission granted for non-commercial use and distribution.
- Not to be used for commercial advantage. All rights reserved.
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- This document contains 34 pages.
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- TABLE OF CONTENTS
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- 1. Introduction 4
- Background 4
- Fundamentals of Ionospheric Propagation 5
- Disclaimer 7
- Distribution and Use of MINIPROP 8
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- 2. Starting MINIPROP 9
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- 3. The Master Menu 10
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- 4. Running a MINIPROP Prediction (Master Menu Choice 1) 11
- Latitudes and Longitudes 11
- Entering Terminal A Data 12
- Entering Terminal B Data 13
- Entering the Date 13
- Entering the Sunspot Number or Solar Flux 13
- An Example 14
- The Command Line 19
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- 5. DX Compass (Master Menu Choice 2) 21
- Entering Data 21
- An Example 21
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- 6. Changing Prediction Parameters (Master Menu Choice 3) 23
- Change Frequencies Used in Signal Level Predictions 23
- Change Antenna Minimum Radiation Angle Used in Predictions 24
- Suppress Output of Low Signal Levels 25
- Suppress Output of Signal Levels at Frequencies
- Higher than Predicted FMUF 25
- Change Path (Short or Long) to be Computed First 26
- Restore Original Set of MINIPROP Defaults 26
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- 7. MINIPROP Utilities (Master Menu Choice 4) 28
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- 8. Create or Modify Terminal A Default
- (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 2) 28
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- 9. Display Entries in MINIPROP Atlas
- (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 3) 29
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- 10. Add, Modify or Delete Entry in MINIPROP Atlas
- (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 4) 29
- Adding an Atlas Entry 29
- Modifying an Atlas Entry 30
- Deleting an Atlas Entry 30
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- 11. Display MINIPROP Documentation on Screen
- (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 5) 30
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- 12. Send MINIPROP Documentation to Printer
- (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 6) 31
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- Table of Contents
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- 13. Print Table of Great-Circle Bearings
- (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 7) 31
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- 14. Convert Version 1 MINIPROP.ATL to Version 2 MP.ATL
- (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 8) 32
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- 15. References 33
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- 1. Introduction
- ---------------
-
- MINIPROP is a program for predicting ionospheric (skywave) propagation on
- frequencies between 3 and 30 MHz.
-
- Background
- ----------
-
- I wrote my first propagation prediction program in 1966 to help me work
- DX. That first program, a computerized version of the cook-book procedure in
- NBS Circular 462 (1), was written in BASIC on a GE time-sharing computer.
- During the next several years the program was revised several times to take
- advantage of improved prediction algorithms contained in several government
- publications, primarily NBS Monograph 80 (2), ESSA Technical Report ITSA-1 (3),
- and ESSA Technical Report ERL 110-ITS 78 (4). Additional information was
- obtained through personal correspondence with one of the authors of ERL 110-
- ITS-78. Additional program versions were written in BASIC for several
- computers, and versions were written in FORTRAN and RPN.
-
- All of these programs predicted only signal strength. MUF was predicted
- manually, using the two-control-point method with a control point near each end
- of the path, from world maps with superimposed predicted iso-MUF(ZERO)F2 and
- iso-MUF(4000)F2 curves (5)(6).
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- In December, 1982, MINIMUF-3.5 (7)(8), developed by the U.S. Naval Ocean
- Systems Center, appeared in QST (9). Although it used an incorrect algorithm
- for control points that are in midnight sun conditions (10)(11) and for some
- control points that are in polar night conditions, MINIMUF made practical the
- prediction of F-layer MUF on microcomputers.
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- MINIPROP version 1, released August 19, 1985, for CP/M computers, combined
- the prediction of signal levels, F-layer MUF (using an improvement on the
- MINIMUF-3.5 model with corrections for the midnight sun and polar night
- conditions), and E-layer cutoff frequency. The MS-DOS version was released the
- following October. MINIPROP was a compiled program written in the Pascal
- programming language.
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- MINIPROP was the most comprehensive propagation prediction program for
- microcomputers that was available to the radio amateur, and copies of version 1
- spread quickly worldwide. As usage expanded, an increasing number of requests
- were made for additional features. At the same time, improved ionospheric
- propagation models were acquired from several sources. In particular, a
- superior F-layer model (12) and other prediction techniques (13) used by the
- BBC were made available through published literature and personal
- correspondence, and an improved method for predicting E-layer cutoff frequency
- was obtained from a report of the ITU International Radio Consultative
- Committee (CCIR) (14). The additional features and improved propagation models
- have been combined in version 2 of MINIPROP. The improved models are more
- complex than those in the original MINIPROP and so have a longer running time,
- but the additional time is well worth the improved prediction accuracy.
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- Fundamentals of Ionospheric Propagation
- ---------------------------------------
-
- The ionosphere is that region of the earth's atmosphere in which free ions
- and electrons exist in sufficient abundance to affect the properties of
- electromagnetic waves that are propagated within and through it. Ions are
- produced in the atmosphere partly by cosmic rays but mostly by solar radiation.
- The latter include ultraviolet light, x rays, and particle radiation (during
- storm periods). These radiations are selectively absorbed by the several
- gaseous constituents of the atmosphere, ion-electron pairs being produced in
- the process. For practical purposes, the ionosphere can usually be assumed to
- extend from about 50 to roughly 2000 km above the earth's surface. The
- structure of the ionosphere is highly variable, and this variability is
- imparted onto signals propagated via the ionosphere. The ionosphere is divided
- into three vertical regions -- D, E, and F -- which increase in altitude and in
- electron density.
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- The D region has an altitude range from 50 to 90 km. The electron density
- in the region has large diurnal variations highly dependent upon solar zenith
- angle. The electron density is maximum near local noon, is higher in summer
- than in winter, and is lowest at night.
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- The E region spans the altitude range from about 90 to 130 km. The
- maximum density occurs near 100 km, although this height varies with local
- time. The diurnal and seasonal variations of electron density are similar to
- those of the D region. Collisions between electrons and neutral particles,
- while important in the E region, are not as numerous as in the D region. The E
- region acts principally as a reflector of hf waves, particularly during
- daylight hours.
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- Embedded within the E region is the so-called sporadic-E layer. This
- layer is an anomalous ionization layer that assumes different forms --
- irregular and patchy, smooth and disklike -- and has little direct bearing to
- solar radiation. The causes of sporadic-E ionization are not fully known. The
- properties of the sporadic-E layer vary substantially with location and are
- markedly different at equatorial, temperate, and high latitudes. "Short-skip"
- openings, sometimes on an otherwise dead band, are often a result of one-hop
- sporadic-E ionization. When sporadic-E ionization is sufficiently widespread,
- multi-hop propagation is possible. MINIPROP predictions do not include the
- effects of sporadic-E ionization.
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- The highest ionospheric region is termed the F region. The lower part of
- the F region, from 130 to 200 km, is termed the F1 region, and the part above
- 200 km is termed the F2 region.
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- The F2 region is the highest ionospheric region, usually has the highest
- electron density, and is the region of greatest value in long-distance hf
- ionospheric propagation. The region exhibits large variability in both time
- and space in response to neutral winds and electrodynamic drifts in the
- presence of the earth's magnetic field. The maximum electron density generally
- occurs well after noon, sometimes in the evening hours. The height of the
- maximum ranges from 250 to 350 km at midlatitudes to 350 to 500 km at
- equatorial latitudes. At midlatitudes, the height of the maximum electron
- density is higher at night than in the daytime. At equatorial latitudes, the
- opposite behavior occurs.
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- The F1 region, like the E region, is under strong solar control. It
- reaches a maximum ionization level about one hour after local noon. At night
- and during the winter the F1 and F2 regions merge and are termed simply "F
- region".
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- Electromagnetic waves are refracted when passing through an ionized
- medium, the refraction increasing with increased electron density and
- decreasing with increase of frequency. If the refraction is large enough, a
- wave reaching the ionosphere is bent back toward earth as though it had been
- reflected, thereby permitting reception of the wave at a large distance from
- the transmitter. The F2 layer is the most important in this regard because of
- its height and its high electron density. The maximum earth distance traversed
- in one F2-layer "hop" is about 4000 km. Round-the-world communication can
- occur via multiple hops.
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- If the frequency is too high, the wave is not refracted sufficiently to
- return to earth. The maximum frequency for which a wave will propagate between
- two points is called the maximum usable frequency (MUF). Frequencies higher
- than the existing MUF at any given time are not supported, no matter how much
- power is used. However, because of the large variability that exists in the
- electron density of the F2 region, predicted MUFs are not absolute limits, but
- are statistical in nature. The actual MUF at any given time may be higher or
- lower than the predicted MUF. Predicted MUFs are intended to be median values;
- i.e., the actual MUF will exceed the predicted MUF 50 percent of the time, and
- will be less than the predicted FMUF 50 percent of the time. The predicted
- frequency that will be supported only 10 percent of the time is a frequency
- higher than the predicted MUF called the highest probable frequency (HPF), but
- even higher frequencies are possible 10 percent of the time. The predicted
- frequency that will be supported 90 percent of the time is a frequency lower
- than the predicted MUF called the optimum traffic frequency (FOT). Curves of
- predicted HPF, MUF, and FOT for several paths appear each month in QST. In
- MINIPROP, the predicted F2-layer maximum usable frequency is referred to as
- FMUF.
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- Signals on their way to or from the F2 layer must pass through the E
- region of the ionosphere. The E layer is also capable of "reflecting" hf
- signals, and if the E-layer MUF is too high, the signals to or from the F2
- layer are blocked -- or cut off -- by the E layer. In MINIPROP, the E-layer
- cutoff frequency is referred to as ECOF. Signals at frequencies below the ECOF
- will not pass through the E layer. Signals can propagate between two points on
- earth via the E layer in the same manner as they do via the F2 layer, but the
- maximum earth distance traversed in one E-layer hop is only about 2000 km, so a
- significantly greater number of hops is usually required on DX paths. E-layer
- propagation modes are not predicted by MINIPROP.
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- The D region of the ionosphere must be traversed by signals on their way
- to and from the F2 or E layers. Electron densities in the D region are not
- large enough to cause hf signals to be returned to earth, but the high
- collision frequency between the electrons and neutral particles in the D region
- gives rise to absorption of signals passing through it. The reduction of
- signal strength can be substantial, particularly in daytime on the lower hf
- frequencies. Antenna installations that provide low radiation (take-off)
- angles can minimize the number of hops required between two stations, thereby
- reducing the number of passes through the D region and the amount of signal
- absorption.
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- Electron density in the ionosphere increases with increased solar
- activity. Therefore, MUFs and signal absorption both increase as solar
- activity increases. The Zurich smoothed mean sunspot number has been used
- extensively as an index of solar activity and the one with which propagation
- data has been correlated over the years. Therefore, most propagation
- prediction models require that the user specify the sunspot number to be used
- in making a prediction. The 2800-MHz (10.7-cm) solar noise flux is generally
- considered a more accurate measure of solar activity, but with a smaller base
- of propagation observations. Since the two indices are highly correlated,
- either index may be used. MINIPROP allows you to specify either sunspot number
- or solar flux as a measure of solar activity.
-
- Ionospheric propagation is susceptible to several kinds of short-term
- disturbance that are usually associated with solar flares. Depending upon the
- nature of the disturbance, they are called sudden ionospheric disturbances,
- polar cap absorption events, or ionospheric storms. These disturbances upset
- the electron configuration in the ionosphere, and consequently affect
- propagation. Propagation is also affected by changes in the earth's magnetic
- field. The magnetic field is constantly fluctuating, but the fluctuation
- occurs over much wider limits during magnetic storms that accompany ionospheric
- storms. Ionospheric and magnetic storms are also often accompanied by visible
- aurora.
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- Except for the tendency of these disturbances to recur in synchronism with
- the 27-day rotation period of the sun, they are difficult for the amateur (as
- well as the professional) to predict and to quantify. The severity of magnetic
- disturbances is indicated by A and K indices that are broadcast by WWV at 18
- minutes past each hour. The A index is a daily measure of geomagnetic field
- activity on a scale of 0 to 400. The K index is a measure, for a 3-hour
- period, of variation or disturbance in the geomagnetic field on a scale of 0 to
- 9. In general, MUFs decrease and signal absorption increases as geomagnetic
- field activity increases, although MUFs sometimes increase in equatorial
- regions.
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- Propagation only along great-circle paths is considered in MINIPROP.
- Backscatter modes and bent-path modes are not considered.
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- More information about ionospheric propagation can be found in "The
- Shortwave Propagation Handbook" by W3ASK and N4XX (15), and in Chapter 22 of
- the "The 1987 ARRL Handbook" (16).
-
- Disclaimer
- ----------
-
- Sheldon C. Shallon shall have no liability or responsibility to user or
- any other person or entity with respect to any loss or damage caused or alleged
- to be caused directly or indirectly through the use of this documentation or
- the MINIPROP program.
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- Distribution and Use of MINIPROP
- --------------------------------
-
- MINIPROP is a copyrighted program. All rights are retained by the author.
- MINIPROP is not to be sold; nor is it to be used for commercial purposes. You
- may freely distribute MINIPROP, and you are encouraged to do so, but you may
- not charge for doing so. The following files should be included in any
- distribution:
- MP.COM
- MP1.000
- MP1.CHN
- MP2.CHN
- MP3.CHN
- MP4.CHN
- MP.DOC
- MP.ATL
- READ.ME
-
- MINIPROP is a user-supported program. This means that if you find
- MINIPROP useful you should consider sending a contribution in the suggested
- amount of $25.00 to the author:
-
- Sheldon C. Shallon
- 11058 Queensland St.
- Los Angeles, CA 90034-3029
-
- Your comments and suggestions regarding MINIPROP will be welcome. Please
- enclose a self-addressed stamped envelope if you wish a reply.
-
- Good DXing,
- Shel, W6EL
- 2-24-87
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- 2. Starting MINIPROP
- --------------------
-
- If you have not already done so, please make a working copy of MINIPROP.
- The disk on which you received MINIPROP should be put away for safekeeping, and
- the working copy used when you want to run MINIPROP. Do not write protect the
- working copy because MINIPROP has to able to write to the disk.
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- Your working disk should contain the following files:
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- MP.COM (Required to start MINIPROP.)
- MP1.000 (You cannot run a MINIPROP prediction without this file.)
- MP1.CHN (Required to start MINIPROP.)
- MP2.CHN (Necessary for the DX Compass feature only.)
- MP3.CHN (You will not be able to change several of the
- built-in prediction parameters without this file.)
- MP4.CHN (You will not be able to use the MINIPROP utilities
- without this file.)
- MP.DOC (This MINIPROP documentation.)
- MP.ATL (Atlas of latitudes and longitudes. Not essential,
- but very helpful.)
- READ.ME (Help in starting MINIPROP.)
-
- In addition, a MP.DEF file will be created automatically the first time
- you run MINIPROP. This file will hold any changes you make to several of the
- values and settings used in the MINIPROP predictions, as well as the latitude
- and longitude of your location. Be sure there is room on the disk and in the
- disk directory for this short file.
-
- All of the MINIPROP files should be on the logged disk drive and in the
- current directory.
-
- To run MINIPROP, type "MP" following the > prompt from your computer's
- operating system. (In this documentation, everything you are to enter on your
- computer keyboard appears in quotes. You should type everything between the
- quotes exactly as shown, but do not type the quotes. You may always use either
- upper or lower case letters.) Then press the ENTER or RETURN key, depending on
- the keyboard of your computer. When running MINIPROP, you will see this key
- referred to on the screen as <ENTER>, <RETURN>, or <RTN>.
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- After MINIPROP has been loaded from disk into RAM, an opening message and
- the MINIPROP master menu will appear on the screen.
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- 3. The Master Menu
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- The MINIPROP master menu will appear on your screen as follows:
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- MASTER MENU
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- 0. Exit from MINIPROP (Quit)
- 1. Run a MINIPROP prediction (you may also press <ENTER>)
- 2. DX Compass (directions of band openings)
- 3. Change prediction parameter defaults
- 4. MINIPROP utilities
-
- Your choice :
-
- If you do not wish to continue, enter "0" to terminate MINIPROP and return
- to the operating system. You may also enter "Q" or "X".
-
- Use choice 1 to predict propagation between two locations (terminals).
- This is the choice you will probably use most often. You may also press just
- <ENTER> or <RETURN> to invoke this choice. See Section 4 below.
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- Choice 2 will give you a picture of the highest frequencies that are most
- likely to be open to DX in several directions from a specified location
- (terminal) at a given time of day. See Section 5 below.
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- Choice 3 gives you the option to change certain prediction parameters from
- their default values. These options are:
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- Change frequencies used in signal level predictions
- Change antenna minimum radiation angle used in predictions
- Suppress output of low signal levels
- Suppress output of signal levels at frequencies higher than predicted FMUF
- Change path (short or long) to be computed first
- Restore original set of MINIPROP defaults
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- More information on these options can be found in Section 6 of this
- documentation.
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- Choice 4 gives you access to the MINIPROP utilities. With these utilities
- you can:
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- Create or modify Terminal A default
- Display entries in MINIPROP atlas
- Add, modify, or delete entry in MINIPROP atlas
- Display MINIPROP documentation on screen
- Send MINIPROP documentation to printer
- Print table of great-circle bearings
- Convert version 1 MINIPROP.ATL to version 2 MP.ATL
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- See Sections 7 through 14 of this documentation for more information about the
- MINIPROP utilities.
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- 4. Running a MINIPROP Prediction (Master Menu Choice 1)
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- Latitudes and Longitudes
- ------------------------
-
- To compute a propagation prediction between two terminals, MINIPROP needs
- to know the locations of those two terminals. A location is defined in terms
- of its latitude and longitude. You will be asked for the latitude and
- longitude of the terminals at the two ends of the propagation path. One of the
- terminals is called Terminal A; the other is Terminal B. It makes no
- difference which terminal is A and which is B.
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- Latitude is a measure of angular distance north or south of the earth's
- equator. It is measured in degrees. The latitude of the equator is 0 degrees.
- The north pole is at 90 degrees north latitude, and the south pole is at 90
- degrees south latitude. Latitudes can never exceed 90 degrees in magnitude.
- To distinguish between north and south latitudes, the latter must be preceded
- by a minus (-) sign. For example, 40 degrees north latitude would be entered
- as 40; 40 degrees south latitude would be entered as -40. Do not place a plus
- (+) sign in front of north latitudes.
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- Longitude is a measure of angular distance east or west of the prime
- (Greenwich) meridian. It is measured in degrees. The longitude of the prime
- meridian is 0 degrees. Longitudes to the west of the prime meridian (e.g., in
- the western hemisphere) are west longitudes. Longitudes to the east of the
- prime meridian (e.g., in the eastern hemisphere) are east longitudes. The
- meridian half way around the world from the prime meridian is at longitude 180
- degrees; its longitude can be given as either 180 degrees east or 180 degrees
- west (180 or -180). Longitudes usually have magnitudes between 0 and 180
- degrees. However, any particular meridian of longitude can be reached by
- travelling either east or west from the prime meridian. Therefore, a longitude
- of 90 degrees west is equivalent to a longitude of 270 degrees east, for
- example. MINIPROP will accept longitudes with magnitudes between 0 and 360
- degrees. To distinguish between west and east longitudes, the latter must be
- preceded by a minus (-) sign. For example, 100 degrees west longitude would be
- entered as 100; 100 degrees east longitude would be entered as -100. Do not
- place a plus (+) sign in front of west longitudes.
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- An atlas containing latitudes and longitudes of more than 350 locations is
- supplied with MINIPROP, but you will probably have need for your own latitude
- and longitude and for latitudes and longitudes of other locations that are not
- in the MINIPROP atlas. You can generally find these in atlases that are
- available in bookstores and libraries, or you may scale them from maps or
- charts. A note of caution is in order with respect to latitudes and longitudes
- that are tabulated in atlases. They are usually shown as decimal numbers, but
- are often in a degree.minute format. Thus, 40.54 might mean 40.54 degrees, but
- it usually means 40 degrees, 54 minutes. If the latter is meant, the
- equivalent decimal value is 40.9 degrees.
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- MINIPROP will accept latitudes and longitudes as decimals or in a degree
- minute second format. If you wish to enter a latitude or longitude in the
- latter format, leave one blank space between the degrees and minutes, and
- another between the minutes and seconds, if any. Leading and trailing blank
- spaces are invalid. Here are some examples. All of the values in each column
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- "40.9" "0.5" "-28 10 30" "-135" (east longitude)
- "40 54" "00 30" "-28 10.5" "225" (west longitude)
- "40 54 0" "00 30 0" "-28.175"
- "40 54 00" "00 30 00"
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- "33 60" (Minutes and seconds must be less than 60.)
- "118 25" (Too many blank spaces.)
- "-34 -25" (Put minus sign in front only.)
- " 42" (Leading blanks not allowed.)
- "42 " (Trailing blanks not allowed.
- "85.5 25" (Decimal allowed only in last part of entry.)
- "91" (If a latitude, may not exceed 90.)
- "361" (Longitudes may not exceed 360.)
- "+34" (Leading + sign not needed or allowed.)
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- Entering Terminal A Data
- ------------------------
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- When you run a MINIPROP prediction you will see the following prompt on
- the screen.
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- Enter Terminal A latitude (or <RTN> for default), or prefix, or <?> :
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- You have four choices: (1) You may enter the latitude of Terminal A.
- (2) you may press <RTN> to use the Terminal A default location. (Remember,
- <RTN> means you should press the RETURN or ENTER key.) (3) you may enter the
- country prefix (or other unique identifier) if you want to use a MINIPROP atlas
- entry. (4) you may press <?> followed by <RTN> if you want to be reminded of
- the prefixes that are available in the atlas.
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- If you enter a latitude in response to the latitude prompt, you will next
- be prompted for the longitude of Terminal A. Enter the longitude. Then you
- will be asked for the name of Terminal A. You may want to enter a call sign,
- city name, or other identifier. The name you enter will appear in the
- prediction heading as an identifier for your use. MINIPROP makes no other use
- of the name. The name may contain up to 17 characters and blanks. You may
- press only <RTN> if you do not want to enter a name.
-
- If you press only <RTN>, MINIPROP will look in the MP.DEF disk file for
- the default latitude, longitude, and name of Terminal A. This saves you the
- trouble of entering your own latitude, longitude, and terminal name each time
- you want a prediction on a path from your own station. If you have not already
- created a Terminal A default for your own location, one of the MINIPROP
- utilities (Master Menu choice 4) will help you do so.
-
- If you enter a prefix in response to the latitude prompt, MINIPROP will
- search the MP.ATL atlas file to find the entry with that prefix. The contents
- of the atlas entry will appear on the screen and the displayed values will be
- used in the prediction.
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- If you need to be reminded of the prefixes in the MINIPROP atlas, press
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- <?>. All of the prefixes in the atlas will appear on the screen, followed
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- Entering Terminal B Data
- ------------------------
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- The following prompt will appear next.
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- Enter Terminal B latitude, or prefix, or <?> :
-
- Except for the Terminal A default, your choices are the same as for
- Terminal A. Proceed as for Terminal A. You may not use the Terminal A default
- location for Terminal B.
-
- Entering the Date
- -----------------
-
- Next you will be asked for the date to be used in the prediction.
- MINIPROP needs the date to compute the position of the sun, the times of
- sunrise and sunset, and the directions of the gray lines at the path terminii.
- Enter the date as a six-digit number with no leading, trailing, or embedded
- spaces and no punctuation. Examples:
-
- 122585 is December 25, 1985
- 010187 is January 1, 1987
- 070410 is July 4, 2010
-
- MINIPROP will convert the last two digits to a year between 1945 and 2044,
- inclusive. This 100-year span allows you to obtain current predictions, to
- compare MINIPROP predictions with actual propagation records back to the
- beginning of the post-WW II DXCC, and to predict propagation well into the
- future. Invalid dates (e.g., 022987) will not be accepted.
-
- Entering the Sunspot Number or Solar Flux
- -----------------------------------------
-
- You have to enter one more item of information. You will see the
- following prompt on the screen.
-
- Sunspot number (or solar flux, e.g., F70) for above date?
-
- If you want to enter a sunspot number, just enter the number and press
- <RTN>. If you want to enter a solar flux value, first enter "F" or "f",
- immediately followed (no blanks) by the value and press <RTN>. For example, a
- sunspot number of 45 would be entered as "45"; a solar flux of 70 would be
- entered as "F70" or "f70". MINIPROP will do the conversion for you.
-
- The sunspot number and solar flux are both measures of solar activity.
- They are highly, but not 100-percent, correlated with each other. Therefore, a
- range of sunspot numbers can correspond to a particular value of solar flux,
- and vice versa. For example, the sunspot number was 0 on eight days in
- November, 1986; on those days, the solar flux value ranged from 71 to 80. On
- six days when the value of the solar flux was 76, the sunspot number ranged
- from 0 to 23. Various formulas to approximate the relationship between sunspot
- number and solar flux have appeared in the literature. MINIPROP uses the
-
- -13-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- following formula published by the Institute for Telecommunication Sciences
- (6):
-
- solar flux = 63.75 + 0.728 ssn + 0.00089 ssn^2
-
- In this formula, ssn is the 12-month moving average Zurich sunspot number, and
- ssn^2 is the square of that number. The solar flux is in units of 10^-22 watts
- per square meter per Hz.
-
- MINIPROP will accept sunspot numbers between 0 and 390, and solar flux
- values between 60 and 483. However, if you input a solar flux value between 60
- and 63.75, MINIPROP will substitute a solar flux value of 63.75 corresponding
- to a sunspot number of 0. Solar flux values less than 60 will not be accepted.
-
- Predicted sunspot numbers are published monthly in conjunction with the
- propagation charts in QST, and in George Jacobs' propagation column in CQ. QST
- also predicts the solar flux value, but the formula relating QST's predicted
- sunspot number and solar flux value differs somewhat from the above formula
- used in MINIPROP. Daily values of solar flux are broadcast by WWV at 18
- minutes past each hour. In addition, the weekly KH6BZF Reports contains up-to-
- date sunspot numbers, solar flux values, A and K indices, propagation
- conditions, and other useful information.
-
- MUFs do not seem to follow day-to-day variations in solar activity, so I
- prefer to use monthly predicted sunspot numbers. However, a change in solar
- activity, when sustained for a period of time (several days, say), does
- influence MUFs. Therefore, you may want to use solar flux values representing
- the average of the values broadcast by WWV for the past several days.
- Absorption in the D region reacts more quickly to solar activity, but
- significant changes in predicted signal strengths would not be expected except
- for very large changes in solar activity, and then only on daytime paths at the
- lower frequencies.
-
- MINIPROP will start computing the propagation prediction as soon as you
- have entered a sunspot number or solar flux value.
-
- An Example
- ----------
-
- As an example, let's predict what propagation will be like on the path
- from Omaha, Nebraska, to Agalega (3B6) on January 25, 1990, if the predicted
- smoothed sunspot number is 114. I have chosen this example because it
- demonstrates the several elements of a MINIPROP prediction and illustrates how
- band openings are predicted on the 10- through 80-meter bands.
-
- Start MINIPROP by entering "MP" following the > prompt from your
- computer's operating system. When the MINIPROP master menu appears on the
- screen, enter the number "1" or press the ENTER or RETURN key.
-
- We will assume that the latitude and longitude of Omaha have not been
- entered as the Terminal A default and are not in the MINIPROP atlas, so we have
- to look them up and enter them manually. My Rand McNally atlas lists the
- coordinates as 41 deg 15 min N, 95 deg 56 min W. In response to the prompt for
- the latitude of Terminal A, enter "41 15". In response to the longitude
- prompt, enter "95 56". In response to the name prompt, we can enter any string
-
- -14-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- of up to 17 characters. Let's use only the city name; enter "Omaha".
-
- Let's use the MINIPROP atlas entry for Agalega. In response to the prompt
- for the latitude of Terminal B, enter "3B6".
-
- For the date enter "012590". For the sunspot number enter "114".
-
- After a brief delay, the following display will appear on the screen while
- MINIPROP continues to compute the prediction.
-
-
- MINIPROP
- 01-25-1990
- Sunspot Number : 114.0 Flux : 158.3 Min. Radiation Angle : 1.5 deg
-
- TERMINAL A : Omaha TERMINAL B : Agalega
- Latitude : 41.25 N Latitude : 10.42 S
- Longitude : 95.93 W Longitude : 56.65 E
-
- Sunrise : 1346 UTC Sunrise : 0211 UTC
- Gray line : 26/206 deg Gray line : 19/199 deg
-
- Sunset : 2326 UTC Sunset : 1440 UTC
- Gray line : 334/154 deg Gray line : 341/161 deg
-
- SHORT-PATH Bearing from A to B : 45.8 deg
- Bearing from B to A : 326.7 deg
- Path Length : 15651 km 9726 mi (U.S.)
-
- LONG-PATH Bearing from A to B : 225.8 deg
- Bearing from B to A : 146.7 deg
- Path Length : 24349 km 15131 mi (U.S.)
-
-
- The second line shows the date you specified in expanded form showing the
- four-digit year. On the next line are the sunspot number you entered and the
- equivalent solar flux value. If you had entered the solar flux value, MINIPROP
- would have computed and displayed the equivalent sunspot number. The third
- line also shows the antenna minimum radiation (take-off) angle that is being
- used in computing the prediction. The default (initial setting) for this
- parameter is 1.5 degrees. If your antenna installation or horizon obstructions
- preclude achievement of this low an angle, Master Menu choice 3 allows you to
- increase the value. (See Section 6 below.) The value may also be decreased if
- appropriate to your installation. For this example, we will use the default
- 1.5 degrees.
-
- The next seven lines contain two columns of information, one for each of
- the terminals. For each terminal, the name, latitude, and longitude are
- displayed. In this example the latitudes and longitudes were specified in
- degree-minute format, but MINIPROP has converted them to decimals. Although
- shown to two decimal places, latitudes and longitudes are carried to greater
- accuracy within MINIPROP. Instead of a plus (implied) or minus sign, a letter
- (N, S, E, or W) indicating the direction from the equator or the prime meridian
- is shown.
-
-
- -15-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- Sunrise and sunset times and directions of the gray lines are also shown
- for each terminal. There are several definitions of sunrise and sunset (e.g.,
- civil, nautical, astronomical), and times can differ by several minutes between
- the different definitions. MINIPROP defines sunrise and sunset as the times
- when the center of the sun is on the celestial horizon. The gray line is the
- fuzzy band around the earth separating daylight and darkness. Many DXers point
- their antennas along the gray line at sunrise and sunset to look for DX. For
- each sunrise and sunset, the first gray line direction shown is the most
- northerly direction and the second direction is the most southerly; the two
- directions are 180 degrees apart. In this example, sunrise at Omaha is at 1346
- UTC. Around that time you would point your antenna at 26 or 206 degrees east
- of north to point along the gray line.
-
- Next, the bearings and path lengths are shown for both the short great-
- circle path and the long great-circle path between the two terminii. You will
- note that on neither path do the bearings from one terminal to the other differ
- by 180 degrees (e.g., 45.8 and 326.7 degrees on the short path). This point is
- mentioned because some people are surprised that this is true. Except for some
- unique geometries, the bearings will not be 180 degrees apart. Of course, the
- short-path and long-path bearings from any one terminal are 180 degrees apart
- (e.g., 45.8 and 225.8 degrees).
-
- By the time you have read this far, MINIPROP will probably have finished
- computing the propagation prediction for the short path. MINIPROP displays its
- progress at the bottom of the screen while it is computing the prediction. It
- displays a period (.) periodically while it is computing absorption along the
- path, a lower case f while computing F-layer MUF, and a lower case e while
- computing the E-layer cutoff frequency. When MINIPROP has finished computing
- the prediction, "Press any key when ready for predictions." appears at the
- bottom of the screen. Press any key when you are ready.
-
- The table of predictions on the next page will appear on your screen.
-
- The information displayed at the top of the screen is similar to the
- information in the previous display, but somewhat abbreviated. Bearings and
- path length are shown only for one path, in this case the short path. MINIPROP
- has computed and displayed the minimum number of F hops corresponding to the
- minimum radiation angle (1.5 degrees) that appeared on the previous display.
- In this example, 5 F hops are required. The resulting predicted radiation
- angle is shown to be 5 degrees.
-
- The predicted F-layer MUF (FMUF), E-layer cutoff frequency (ECOF), and
- received signal levels are shown for every two hours UTC.
-
- The predicted signal levels are shown for frequencies in the five primary
- hf bands. You may change these built-in frequencies to any five frequencies of
- your choice between 3 and 30 MHz. (See Section 6 below.) The signal levels
- are in dB with respect to 0.5 microvolt "behind" 50 ohms, and assume a matched
- antenna load. On my receiver 0.5 microvolt produces an S3 signal. So 0 dB
- would be S3. At 5 dB per S unit, 10 dB would be S5, 30 dB would be S9, etc.
- The signal levels assume 100 watts radiated power with half-wave dipole
- antennas in free space at both ends of the path, and with the antennas oriented
- for maximum gain along the path. Add or subtract whatever number of dB you
- think appropriate for the antennas and power levels in use.
-
-
- -16-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- Predicted signal levels are computed independently of the FMUF and ECOF
- under the assumption that the number of F hops (in this case 5) shown in the
- header are present at all times and for all frequencies, and that there is no
- E-layer cutoff. (To take E-layer reflections into account in computing signal
- levels would be time prohibitive.) This is important to remember: SIGNAL LEVEL
- PREDICTIONS ASSUME THAT A REFLECTING F LAYER IS ALWAYS PRESENT AND THAT THERE
- IS NO REFLECTING E LAYER.
-
-
- MINIPROP (TM) SHORT-PATH PREDICTIONS 01-25-1990 Path Length : 15651 km
- Sunspot Number : 114.0 Flux : 158.3 F Hops : 5 Radiation Angle : 5 deg
- TERMINAL A : 41.25 N 95.93 W Omaha Bearing to B : 45.8 deg
- TERMINAL B : 10.42 S 56.65 E Agalega Bearing to A : 326.7 deg
- Terminal A Sunrise/Set : 1346/2326 UTC Terminal B Sunrise/Set : 0211/1440 UTC
-
- ----------- SIGNAL LEVELS ABOVE 0.5 uV ------------
- UTC FMUF ECOF 3.6 MHZ 7.1 MHZ 14.1 MHZ 21.2 MHZ 28.3 MHZ
-
- 0000 15.9 5.8 40.5 a 35.5 A 29.2 A 24.9
- 0200 12.5 4.6 39.3 a 35.1 A 29.1 B
- 0400 14.0 13.8 8.4 a 22.4 a 25.1 B
- 0600 14.8 17.8 -0.9 a 17.7 a 19.5
- 0800 14.2 19.3 10.7 a 16.2
- 1000 11.3 19.1 6.6
- 1200 11.5 16.9 6.9
- 1400 17.3 11.6 10.8 A 16.3
- 1600 26.1 14.1 2.7 a 18.9 A 20.1 A 18.9 B
- 1800 30.8 15.3 -12.8 a 13.7 a 22.3 a 21.7 A 19.9 A
- 2000 29.5 14.4 6.9 a 21.8 a 24.9 a 22.9 A 20.6 A
- 2200 23.3 10.8 28.0 a 30.4 a 27.6 A 24.2 A 21.3
-
- <G>raph, <T>able, <P>rint table, <Q>uit, <M>enu, or <L>ong path ?
-
-
- The "A", "a", "B", and "b" flags are included in the predictions to flag
- predicted band openings and to aid in interpreting the predicted signal levels.
- The table on the next page shows how the flags indicate the relationship that
- exists between the frequency at the top of a column and the FMUF and ECOF, and
- also shows the probability that propagation on the path can be supported by the
- F layer.
-
- "A"s or "a"s in a particular frequency column flag the times that openings
- are most probable on that frequency. At these times, the frequency at the top
- of the column is less than the predicted FMUF. Therefore, it is expected that
- the probability of F-layer propagation is greater than 50 percent. The
- difference between "A" and "a" is that the frequency is above the ECOF in the
- first case, but below the ECOF in the second. (The "A" flag has the same
- meaning as the "+" flag in MINIPROP version 1.0.) When the "A" flag is
- present, the predicted signal levels apply. When the "a" flag is present,
- usually when one or both of the two terminii is in daylight, E hops are added
- to, or substituted for, F hops. This causes additional absorption loss, and
- possibly additional ground reflection loss, that results in weaker signals than
- the predicted values. The reduction of received signal level can be very
- large, particularly at the lower frequencies. Transmitter power and high
- antenna gains may sometimes be used to overcome the increased signal loss.
-
- -17-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- This allows you to hear foreign broadcast stations in the middle of the day on
- the 41 meter band, but this approach usually is not practical for radio
- amateurs.
-
- Frequency at Top ! Flag ! Probability of
- of Column ! ! F-Layer Support
- ========================================================
- Below FMUF ! !
- ---------------------!----------!
- and above ECOF ! A ! More than 50%
- ---------------------!----------!
- and below ECOF ! a !
- ========================================================
- Between FMUF and HPF ! !
- ---------------------!----------!
- and above ECOF ! B ! 10 - 50%
- ---------------------!----------!
- and below ECOF ! b !
- ========================================================
- Above HPF ! None ! Less than 10%
- ========================================================
-
- "B"s or "b"s in a particular frequency column flag the times that the
- frequency at the head of the column is greater than the predicted FMUF, but is
- predicted to be less than the F-layer HPF. Therefore, the probability of F-
- layer propagation is expected to be less than 50 percent, but greater than 10
- percent. When this possible opening actually occurs, and if the flag is "b",
- signal levels are expected to be weaker than shown because E-layer cutoff is to
- be expected; the predicted signal levels apply when the opening occurs and the
- flag is "B".
-
- Propagation may occur, with low probability, on frequencies even higher
- than the HPF, so predicted signal levels are shown for frequencies up to 150
- percent of the predicted FMUF. The display of signal levels is normally
- suppressed for frequencies greater than 150 percent of the FMUF, but this
- suppression can be cancelled if you wish; see Section 6 below. Of course, the
- signal levels that are shown at the higher frequencies are only applicable when
- the actual MUF is high enough to permit propagation at these frequencies.
-
- The display of signal levels below -20 dB is normally suppressed because
- weaker signals are generally unusable by radio amateurs, even after allowance
- is made for transmitter power and antenna gains. The blanks in the 3.6- and
- 7.1-MHz columns are a result of this suppression. The suppression threshold
- can be changed; see Section 6 below.
-
- In this example, 10 meters will most probably be open with good signals
- from 1800 to 2000 UTC, as indicated by the "A" flag in the 28.3-MHz column.
- The "B" flag in this column indicates that there is a probability between 10
- and 50 percent that the band will open as early as 1600. If the band does not
- open early, the signal level shown at 1600 has no meaning.
-
- 15 meters will be open from 1600 to 2200 with a probability in excess of
- 50 percent.
-
-
-
- -18-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- 20 meters will probably open around 1400 UTC with only fair signals.
- Signals will build until 1600, drop some around 1800 to 2000 as a result of E-
- layer cutoff, and then build to strong signals around 0000 UTC. The band will
- probably go out on this path from 0200 to 0400; predicted signal levels
- opposite the "B" flags apply only if the band stays open, and should be
- disregarded otherwise. 20 meters will be open again from 0600 to 0800, but
- signals will be weaker than shown because of E-layer cutoff.
-
- On 40 meters, signals will be good from 0000 to 0200. E-layer cutoff will
- reduce signal levels, probably below usable levels because of the low
- frequency, during most of the remainder of the day.
-
- E-layer cutoff will reduce all signal levels shown for 80 meters, but
- signals will be best around 0000 to 0200 UTC.
-
- The Command Line
- ----------------
-
- At the bottom of the screen is a line containing several command choices.
- Make your choice by pressing the initial letter of the command; either upper or
- lower case may be used.
-
- <G>raph. This choice causes the following screen display to appear.
-
-
- SHORT-PATH PREDICTIONS 01-25-1990 Omaha TO Agalega
- Sunspot Number : 114.0 Flux : 158.3 F Hops : 5 Radiation Angle : 5 deg
- MHZ X = FMUF O = ECOF MHZ
- 30 -----------------------------------XX+XXX-------- 30
- 28 XX X 28
- 26 X XX 26
- 24 X X 24
- 22 X X 22
- 20 ---------------OOOOOO--------X----------------X-- 20
- 18 OOOO OOO X X 18
- 16 X OO OO X OOOO X 16
- 14 X XXXXXXXXXXXX OO OOOO OOOO 14
- 12 XXXX O XXXXXXXX OOO O 12
- 10 ------O-------------------------------------OO--- 10
- 8 O O 8
- 6 O OO 6
- 4 OOOO 4
- 2 2
- 0 ------------------------------------------------- 0
- 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 0 U
- 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 0 T
-
- <G>raph, <T>able, <P>rint table, <Q>uit, <M>enu, or <L>ong path ?
-
-
- The graph uses the letters X and O to plot FMUF and ECOF versus time. The time
- resolution is 30 minutes instead of the 2-hour resolution in the previous
- prediction table. However, the limited screen height limits the frequency
- resolution to 2 MHz. When both an X and an O should appear in the same
- location on the graph, the one that is predicted to be at the highest frequency
-
- -19-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- appears. At 0400 UTC in this example, FMUF and ECOF are both 14 MHz to the
- nearest 2 MHz; an X appears because the FMUF of 14.0 MHz exceeds the ECOF of
- 13.8 MHz. At 1300, only an O appears at 14 MHz because the ECOF is higher than
- the FMUF, with both rounding to 14 MHz. (The predicted ECOF of 14.9 MHz
- exceeds the predicted FMUF of 13.5 MHz.) The plus (+) sign at 1830 indicates
- that the predicted FMUF exceeds 31 MHz. The command line is repeated below the
- graph.
-
- <T>able. This choice causes the prediction table to reappear.
-
- <P>rint table. This choice sends the prediction table to your printer.
- The longer page length as compared to the screen height allows predictions to
- be printed for every 30 minutes instead of every 2 hours. Otherwise, the table
- is the same as seen on the screen. 57 lines will be printed, so make sure the
- paper is adjusted in your printer so that printing can start within 10 lines
- from the top of the page. It is assumed that your page length is 66 lines.
-
- <Q>uit. This choice terminates MINIPROP.
-
- <M>enu. This choice causes the MINIPROP master menu to reappear on the
- screen. From the master menu you can choose to run another prediction, or you
- can select one of the other master menu choices.
-
- <L>ong path. This choice is available only after the short-path
- prediction has been displayed first, and causes MINIPROP to compute a
- propagation prediction for the long great-circle path between terminals A and
- B. Both table and graph displays are available as in the above example. Long-
- path propagation is difficult to predict reliably; predicted openings often do
- not occur, particularly on the higher frequencies.
-
- <S>hort path. This choice is available only after the long-path
- prediction has been displayed first, and causes MINIPROP to compute a
- propagation prediction for the short great-circle path between terminals A and
- B.
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- -20-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- 5. DX Compass (Master Menu Choice 2)
- ------------------------------------
-
- The DX Compass is a screen display showing the highest FMUF you can expect
- on twelve bearings separated at intervals of 30 degrees from a specified
- location for Terminal A and at any specified time of day. This feature is
- especially useful for planning your operations during DX contests.
-
- Entering Data
- -------------
-
- Data entry is similar to the data entry described above in Section 4 for
- MINIPROP predictions. Only one terminal is used in the DX Compass, so you will
- not be asked for Terminal B data. Entry of Terminal A data, the date, and the
- sunspot number or solar flux are the same as in Section 4.
-
- One new piece of data must be entered. The following prompt will appear
- on the screen after the sunspot number or solar flux is entered.
-
- DX Compass for what UTC (e.g., 0215) (or <RTN> to quit)?
-
- As indicated in the prompt, a four-digit UTC in 24-hour format should be
- entered. Valid times are from 0000 to 2400. Press <RTN> if you want to quit
- the DX Compass and return to the MINIPROP master menu.
-
- An Example
- ----------
-
- As an example, let's use the same data we used in the prediction example
- in Section 4, except that there is no Terminal B. Terminal A is Omaha,
- Nebraska. The date is January 25, 1990. We assume a predicted smoothed
- sunspot number of 114.
-
- Start MINIPROP by entering "MP" following the > prompt from your
- computer's operating system. When the MINIPROP master menu appears on the
- screen, enter the number "2".
-
- In response to the prompt for the latitude of Terminal A, enter "41 15".
- In response to the longitude prompt, enter "95 56". For the name of Terminal
- A, enter "Omaha".
-
- For the date enter "012590". For the sunspot number enter "114".
-
- For UTC, let's use the time of sunrise. From the example in Section 4,
- we know this to be 1346; so enter "1346".
-
- When MINIPROP has finished computing the DX Compass, the display at the
- top of the next page will appear on the screen.
-
- The time you specified is shown in the center of the display together with
- the specified latitude, longitude, and date. The FMUF values are arranged in a
- "circle" around the center of the display. Immediately below "FMUF" in the top
- line is the FMUF that applies on a bearing of 0 degrees (due north) from
- Dallas. The other FMUFs around the DX Compass are for bearings in steps of 30
- degrees.
-
- -21-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- Sunrise: 1346 UTC FMUF Radiation Angle: 1.5 deg
- Sunset: 2326 UTC Sunspot Number: 114.0
- Omaha 13.2 Solar Flux: 158.3
-
- 12.1 15.9
-
-
- 11.9 19.8
-
-
- 1346 UTC
- 13.3 41.25 N 95.93 W 25.3
- 01-25-1990
-
-
- 15.6 26.9
-
-
- 18.6 24.9
-
- 22.2
-
- DX Compass for what UTC (e.g., 0215) (or <RTN> to quit)?
-
-
- The displayed values of FMUF are an indication of the highest-frequency
- bands that can be expected to be open to DX on either a short or long great-
- circle path in the different directions around the compass from Terminal A. In
- this example, 10 meters is not yet open in any direction at the time of
- sunrise. 15 meters would be expected to be open, with a probability exceeding
- 50 percent, to DX on bearings between 90 and 180 degrees from Omaha. 20 meters
- would be expected to be open on bearings of 30 degrees, through south, to 240
- degrees. 20 meters would not yet be open from 300 through 360 degrees, but 40
- meters (and 30 meters) would be expected to be open in these directions. Keep
- in mind that the predicted values of only the FMUF are shown, so you cannot
- tell, from the DX Compass alone, how strong the received signals might be.
- However, the first band lower in frequency than the indicated FMUF will
- probably be usable for working DX.
-
- A different interpretation of the compass display applies when Terminal A
- is at either the north or south pole. Instead of compass bearings, the twelve
- positions around the "circle" represent meridian longitudes measured west from
- the prime meridian. For example, the FMUF shown in the 30-degrees position
- would be the maximum FMUF to be expected on a path from the pole along the 30-
- degree west meridian.
-
- The time prompt appears again at the bottom of the screen. You can enter
- additional times to see how the expected band openings shift during the day.
- Press only <ENTER> or <RETURN> when you want to quit and return to the MINIPROP
- master menu.
-
-
-
-
-
-
- -22-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- 6. Changing Prediction Parameters (Master Menu Choice 3)
- --------------------------------------------------------
-
- There are several default (preset) values and settings (e.g., frequencies)
- used in the MINIPROP predictions. Five of these can be changed by the user.
- In addition, you can restore the original set of MINIPROP default values and
- settings. If you make any changes, you will be given the chance to save them
- in the MP.DEF file of default settings upon returning to the master menu. Your
- settings will then be in effect each time you use MINIPROP. If you do not save
- your changes, they will remain in effect only during the current MINIPROP
- session.
- To change any of the defaults, first start MINIPROP by entering "MP"
- following the > prompt from your computer's operating system. When the
- MINIPROP master menu appears on the screen, enter the number "3". The
- following Defaults Change Menu will appear on the screen.
-
-
- DEFAULTS CHANGE MENU
-
- 0. Return to MASTER MENU
- 1. Change frequencies used in signal level predictions
- 2. Change antenna minimum radiation angle used in predictions
- 3. Suppress output of low signal levels
- 4. Suppress output of signal levels at frequencies
- higher than predicted FMUF
- 5. Change path (short or long) to be computed first
- 6. Restore original set of MINIPROP defaults
-
- Your choice :
-
- To make your choice, enter a number, 0 to 6. Choice 0 will return you to the
- MINIPROP Master Menu. Choices 1 through 6 are explained in the following
- sections.
-
- Change Frequencies Used in Signal Level Predictions
- ---------------------------------------------------
-
- In the MINIPROP propagation predictions described above in Section 4,
- signal levels are predicted for frequencies of 3.6, 7.1, 14.1, 21.2, and 28.3
- MHz. You may change these frequencies to any combination of five frequencies
- between 3 and 30 MHz. This will allow you to obtain signal level predictions
- for frequencies in the 12-, 17-, or 30-meter bands or in the shortwave
- broadcast bands, for example.
-
- The frequencies currently in effect will be displayed. You will then be
- asked if you want to change the frequencies. If you answer "N" (without the
- quotes), the Defaults Change Menu will reappear. If you enter "Y", the
- following (top of next page) will appear.
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- -23-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- You may enter 0 to 5 frequencies between 3 and 30 MHz.
- If you do not enter at least one frequency, signal levels
- will not be included in the predictions.
-
- Enter your frequencies, if any, one at a time.
- Press only <ENTER> or <RETURN> when finished.
-
- Frequency 1 :
-
- Press only <ENTER> or <RETURN> if you do not want signal levels to appear
- in the predictions; this will save time when running predictions if you are
- only interested in the FMUF and ECOF predictions. If you do want signal levels
- to appear, enter one to five frequencies, one at a time. You may enter them in
- any order; MINIPROP will place them in numerical order and will round them to
- the nearest 0.1 MHz. Duplicate frequencies will be rejected. If you want to
- enter less than five frequencies, press only <ENTER> or <RETURN> when asked for
- the next frequency.
-
- MINIPROP will display the new frequencies that are now in effect and will
- ask you if you want to change them. If you are not satisfied with the
- frequencies, enter "Y" and you will again be asked to enter your frequencies.
- When you are satisfied with the displayed frequencies, enter "N" and the
- Defaults Change Menu will reappear. You may select other default parameters
- that you want to change, or you may choose to return to the MINIPROP Master
- Menu. If you make the latter choice, and you have changed any of the defaults,
- you will be given the opportunity to save your changes in the MP.DEF defaults
- file before the MINIPROP Master Menu is reloaded.
-
- Change Antenna Minimum Radiation Angle Used in Predictions
- ----------------------------------------------------------
-
- The minimum usable antenna radiation (take-off) angle depends primarily
- upon antenna heights and horizon obstructions. In both the propagation
- predictions and the DX Compass, MINIPROP assumes this minimum angle to be 1.5
- degrees unless you change it. You may change the antenna minimum radiation
- angle to any value between 0 and 45 degrees. MINIPROP uses this value to
- determine the minimum number of F hops required on a given path, and then
- computes the actual antenna radiation angle from the resulting path geometry.
- If you specify too great a radiation angle, the number of hops on a given path
- may be excessive. In this case, a screen message will advise you that the
- prediction computation has been aborted.
-
- The antenna minimum radiation angle currently in effect will be displayed.
- You will then be asked if you want to change the angle. If you answer "N", the
- Defaults Change Menu will reappear. If you enter "Y", you will be asked to
- enter an angle between 0 and 45 degrees.
-
- MINIPROP will display the new antenna minimum radiation angle that is now
- in effect and will ask you if you want to change it. If you are not satisfied
- with the value, enter "Y" and you will again be asked to enter an angle. When
- you are satisfied with the displayed angle, enter "N" and the Defaults Change
- Menu will reappear. You may select other default parameters that you want to
- change, or you may choose to return to the MINIPROP Master Menu. If you make
- the latter choice, and you have changed any of the defaults, you will be given
- the opportunity to save your changes in the MP.DEF defaults file before the
-
- -24-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- MINIPROP Master Menu is reloaded.
-
- Suppress Output of Low Signal Levels
- ------------------------------------
-
- In the discussion of the prediction example in Section 4, it was stated
- that signal levels below -20 dB with respect to 0.5 microvolt are normally not
- displayed or sent to the printer because weaker signals are generally unusable
- by radio amateurs. However, listeners to shortwave broadcasting stations that
- use high power and high-gain antennas might find it desirable to use a lower
- threshold which, after correction for the power and antenna gain, might result
- in a usable received signal strength. You may set the suppression threshold to
- 0, -20, -40, or -60 dB according to your needs, or you may completely eliminate
- suppression of the output of low signal levels.
-
- The suppression level currently in effect will be displayed. You will
- then be asked if you want to change the suppression threshold. If you answer
- "N", the Defaults Change Menu will reappear. If you enter "Y", the following
- will appear.
-
- A Do not show signal levels that are below 0 dB
- with respect to 0.5 microvolt.
-
- B Do not show signal levels that are below -20 dB
- with respect to 0.5 microvolt. (Default)
-
- C Do not show signal levels that are below -40 dB
- with respect to 0.5 microvolt.
-
- D Do not show signal levels that are below -60 dB
- with respect to 0.5 microvolt.
-
- E Do not suppress output of low signal levels.
-
- Your choice :
-
- To make your choice, enter a letter, A through E.
-
- MINIPROP will display the new suppression threshold that is now in effect
- and will ask you if you want to change it. If you are not satisfied with the
- threshold, enter "Y" and you will again be asked to enter your choice of A
- through E. When you are satisfied with the new threshold, enter "N" and the
- Defaults Change Menu will reappear. You may select other default parameters
- that you want to change, or you may choose to return to the MINIPROP Master
- Menu. If you make the latter choice, and you have changed any of the defaults,
- you will be given the opportunity to save your changes in the MP.DEF defaults
- file before the MINIPROP Master Menu is reloaded.
-
-
- Suppress Output of Signal Levels at Frequencies Higher than Predicted FMUF
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Signal level predictions are normally suppressed for frequencies greater
- than 150 percent of the predicted FMUF, but you may cancel this suppression.
- This is a toggle; the suppression is either on or off.
-
- -25-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- The current setting of the toggle will be displayed. You will then be
- asked if you want to change the setting to the other state. If you answer "N",
- the Defaults Change Menu will reappear. If you enter "Y", the setting will be
- reversed.
-
- MINIPROP will display the new toggle setting that is now in effect and
- will ask you if you want to change it. If you are not satisfied with the
- setting, enter "Y" and the setting will again be reversed. When you are
- satisfied with the toggle setting, enter "N" and the Defaults Change Menu will
- reappear. You may select other default parameters that you want to change, or
- you may choose to return to the MINIPROP Master Menu. If you make the latter
- choice, and you have changed any of the defaults, you will be given the
- opportunity to save your changes in the MP.DEF defaults file before the
- MINIPROP Master Menu is reloaded.
-
- Change Path (Short or Long) to be Computed First
- ------------------------------------------------
-
- Short-path predictions are normally computed first, long-path second. You
- may reverse this order. This is a time saver if you need only the long-path
- prediction. This a toggle.
-
- The current setting of the toggle will be displayed. You will then be
- asked if you want to reverse the setting. If you answer "N", the Defaults
- Change Menu will reappear. If you enter "Y", the setting will be reversed.
-
- MINIPROP will display the new toggle setting that is now in effect and
- will ask you if you want to change it. If you are not satisfied with the
- setting, enter "Y" and the setting will again be reversed. When you are
- satisfied with the toggle setting, enter "N" and the Defaults Change Menu will
- reappear. You may select other default parameters that you want to change, or
- you may choose to return to the MINIPROP Master Menu. If you make the latter
- choice, and you have changed any of the defaults, you will be given the
- opportunity to save your changes in the MP.DEF defaults file before the
- MINIPROP Master Menu is reloaded.
-
- Restore Original Set of MINIPROP Defaults
- -----------------------------------------
-
- The original set of defaults built into MINIPROP are:
-
- Prediction frequencies of 3.6, 7.1, 14.1, 21.2, and 28.3 MHz
-
- Antenna minimum elevation angle of 1.5 degrees
-
- Suppression threshold for low signal levels at -20 dB
-
- Output of signal levels suppressed for frequencies higher
- than 150% of FMUF
-
- Short-path predictions computed before long-path predictions
-
- You will be asked if you want to restore this set of defaults. If you
- answer "N", the Defaults Change Menu will reappear. You may select other
- default parameters that you want to change, or you may choose to return to the
-
- -26-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- MINIPROP Master Menu. If you enter "Y", the original settings will be restored
- for the current MINIPROP session, and you will be asked to press any key before
- returning to the Defaults Change Menu. You may then select other default
- parameters that you want to change, or you may choose to return to the MINIPROP
- Master Menu at which time you will be given the opportunity to save your
- changes in the MP.DEF defaults file before the MINIPROP Master Menu is
- reloaded.
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- -27-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- 7. MINIPROP Utilities (Master Menu Choice 4)
- --------------------------------------------
-
- When you select Master Menu choice 4, the following MINIPROP Utilities
- menu will appear.
-
- MINIPROP (TM) UTILITIES
-
- 0. Exit from MINIPROP (Quit)
- 1. Return to MASTER MENU
- 2. Create or modify Terminal A default
- 3. Display entries in MINIPROP atlas
- 4. Add, modify, or delete entry in MINIPROP atlas
- 5. Display MINIPROP documentation on screen
- 6. Send MINIPROP documentation to printer
- 7. Print table of great-circle bearings
- 8. Convert version 1 MINIPROP.ATL to version 2 MP.ATL
-
- Your choice :
-
- Use choice 0 to quit MINIPROP without first returning to the Master Menu.
- To return to the MINIPROP Master Menu, use choice 1. Choices 2 through 8 are
- discussed in the following sections.
-
- 8. Create or Modify Terminal A Default (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 2)
- --------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- There is probably a location you will use most often as one of the
- terminals when running a MINIPROP prediction. This utility allows you to save
- the latitude, longitude, and name of this location as the Terminal A default.
- Then when you want to use this location in a MINIPROP prediction or in the DX
- Compass, it will only be necessary to press <ENTER> or <RETURN> when you are
- prompted for the latitude of Terminal A; you will not have to enter the
- latitude, longitude, and name each time. The Terminal A Default is saved on
- your disk in the MP.DEF file (the same file that holds the default values of
- several of the prediction parameters).
-
- When you select choice 2 on the MINIPROP Utilities menu, the latitude,
- longitude, and name of any existing Terminal A default location will be
- displayed. Then you will be directed to enter your desired Terminal A default.
- Enter the latitude, longitude and name the same as you would enter them
- manually when running a MINIPROP prediction (Section 4 above). When you have
- finished making these entries, they will be repeated back on the screen, and
- you will be asked if they are correct. If you want to make any corrections,
- answer "N". In this case, you will again be asked to enter the latitude,
- longitude, and name. When the displayed entries are correct, answer "Y". You
- will then be asked to confirm that you want the entries saved in the MP.DEF
- defaults file. If you do want them saved, answer "Y"; but if you want to abort
- the creation or change of the Terminal A default location, answer "N".
-
- You will be directed to press any key to continue, and the MINIPROP
- Utilities menu will reappear.
-
-
-
-
- -28-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- 9. Display Entries in MINIPROP Atlas (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 3)
- ------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- This choice allows you to view all of the entries in the MINIPROP atlas.
- The entries will appear in alphabetical order of the prefix. (ASCII
- alphabetization is used. Numerals precede letters. The numeral 0 precedes the
- numeral 1.) The prefix, latitude, longitude, and name will be displayed for
- each entry. The scrolling of the display will stop after every 20 entries; to
- continue, press any key. The total number of atlas entries will be displayed
- after the last atlas entry. If you want to terminate the atlas display before
- the last entry is reached, press Control-X (Hold down the CONTROL key; then
- type "X".).
-
- 10. Add, Modify or Delete Entry in MINIPROP Atlas (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 4)
- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- You may add, modify, or delete entries in the MINIPROP atlas. The only
- limit on the number of atlas entries is the capacity of your disk. When you
- select this utility from the MINIPROP Utilities menu, the following message and
- list of edit choices will appear on your screen.
-
- You will be given a chance to abort before any change is made
- in the atlas.
-
- <A>dd an entry
- <M>odify an entry
- <D>elete an entry
- <R>eturn to utilities menu
-
- Your choice :
-
- Enter "A", "M", or "D" to add, modify, or delete an atlas entry. The list
- of available edit choices will reappear after each addition, modification, or
- deletion. Enter "R" to return to the MINIPROP Utilities menu.
-
- Adding an Atlas Entry
- ---------------------
-
- You will first be asked for the prefix to be added to the atlas. Prefixes
- may contain from one to six characters. Leading, trailing, and embedded spaces
- are not allowed, and you will not be allowed to enter an all-numeric prefix.
- Country prefixes, call area prefixes, station call signs, or any other unique
- identifier may be used. Letters may be entered in either upper or lower case;
- MINIPROP will convert all letters of a prefix to upper case before the entry is
- made in the atlas.
-
- MINIPROP will check to make sure the new prefix is not already in the
- atlas; if it is not, you will be asked to enter the latitude, longitude, and
- name for the new entry. Enter these in the same manner as they are manually
- entered when you run a MINIPROP prediction (Section 4 above). The latitude and
- longitude may be entered as a decimal or in deg min sec format. North
- latitudes and west longitudes are positive (with no plus sign); south and east
- are negative (with a minus sign). Latitudes greater than 90 degrees in
- magnitude, and longitudes greater than 360 degrees in magnitude, will not be
- accepted. Names may not exceed 17 characters in length, and may contain any
-
- -29-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- combination of characters. You might want to look at some examples in the
- atlas; use choice 4 in the MINIPROP Utilities menu.
-
- After you have entered the name, your new atlas entry will be repeated
- back on the screen, and you will be asked if it is correct. If you want to
- make any corrections, answer "N". In this case, you will again be asked to
- enter the prefix, latitude, longitude, and name. When the displayed entry is
- correct, answer "Y". You will then be asked to confirm that you want the entry
- put in the MINIPROP atlas file. If you do want the entry put in the atlas
- file, answer "Y"; but if you want to abort the addition to the atlas, answer
- "N". You will then be given the choice of adding, modifying, or deleting
- another atlas entry or returning to the MINIPROP Utilities menu.
-
- Modifying an Atlas Entry
- ------------------------
-
- You will be asked for the prefix of the atlas entry that you want to
- modify. MINIPROP will then display the current contents of that entry, and you
- will be asked to enter your changes. If you do not want to change an item
- (prefix, latitude, longitude, or name) within an entry, just press <ENTER> or
- <RETURN> and the current contents for that item will appear on the screen.
- When you do want to change an item, enter your desired contents for that item.
- After the name is entered, the modified atlas entry will be repeated back on
- the screen, and you will be asked if it is correct. If you answer "N", the
- modification will be aborted. If the displayed entry is correct, answer "Y".
- You will then be asked to confirm that you want the modified entry put in the
- MINIPROP atlas file. If you do want the modified entry put in the atlas file,
- answer "Y"; but if you want to abort the modification, answer "N". You will
- then be given the choice of adding, modifying, or deleting another atlas entry
- or returning to the MINIPROP Utilities menu.
-
- Deleting an Atlas Entry
- -----------------------
-
- You will be asked for the prefix of the atlas entry that you want to
- delete. MINIPROP will then display the contents of that entry, and you will be
- asked to confirm that you want the entry deleted. If you do want the entry
- deleted from the atlas file, answer "Y"; but if you want to abort the deletion,
- answer "N". You will then be given the choice of adding, modifying, or
- deleting another atlas entry or returning to the MINIPROP Utilities menu.
-
- 11. Display MINIPROP Documentation on Screen (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 5)
- --------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- Use this choice in the MINIPROP Utilities menu if you want to read this
- documentation on the screen. The page number at the bottom of each page will
- not appear on the screen, and where the documentation contains multiple
- adjacent blank lines, only one blank line will appear on the screen. The last
- line of documentation on each screen will be repeated at the top of the next
- screen. The scrolling of the display will stop after every 22 lines; to
- continue, press any key. This documentation is lengthy, so it will take a
- while to read it all. If you want to terminate before the end of the
- documentation is reached, press Control-X (Hold down the CONTROL key; then type
- "X".).
-
-
- -30-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- 12. Send MINIPROP Documentation to Printer (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 6)
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- When you make this choice in the MINIPROP Utilities menu, the following
- instructions will appear on the screen.
-
- Please turn on your printer and set it for 80 characters per
- line and 66 lines per page. Adjust the paper so printing
- can start within 10 lines from the top of the page. There
- will be as many as 57 printed lines on each page.
-
- Press any key when printer is ready.
-
- Just follow these instructions. The documentation is lengthy, so be sure
- there is plenty of paper in your printer. (The total number of pages will
- appear at the bottom of the first page.) Printing will begin when you press
- any key. You may interrupt printing (and return to the MINIPROP Utilities
- menu) by pressing Control-X.
-
- 13. Print Table of Great-Circle Bearings (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 7)
- ----------------------------------------------------------------------
-
- This choice in the MINIPROP Utilities menu allows you to print a
- customized table of great-circle bearings (beam headings) from any location
- (Terminal A) to all of the locations in the MINIPROP atlas.
-
- If you have saved a Terminal A default location in the MP.DEF defaults
- file, you will be asked if you want the bearings to be from the default
- location. If you answer "N", or if their is no default location in the
- defaults file, you will be asked to enter the latitude, longitude, and name of
- Terminal A. Enter these as described in Section 4.
-
- You will now be asked for information needed by MINIPROP to optimize the
- printing of the table by your printer. You will be asked first for the number
- of lines per page (form length) for your printer with the paper you will be
- using. (66 lines per page is standard in the U.S.) You will be asked next for
- the maximum number of characters that your printer will print on one line.
- Then you will be given the opportunity to send any control codes that may be
- required to configure your printer. But first turn on your printer and adjust
- the paper so printing can start 4 to 6 lines from the top of the page. Press
- any key when ready.
-
- Now enter the number of lines per page (form length) for your printer with
- the paper you will be using. This value must be an integer between 48 and 126.
- The U.S. standard of 66 lines per page will allow 52 bearings to be printed in
- each column.
-
- The heading and first few entries of a column in the printed table might
- look like this:
-
- PREFIX LOCATION DEG
- 1A0 S.M.O. of Malta 34
- 1S Spratly Is. 302
- 3A Monaco 36
-
-
- -31-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- The number of pages required to hold the table of great-circle bearings depends
- upon the number of characters that your printer can print on one line. A
- larger number of characters per line will allow a larger number of columns on a
- page, and fewer pages will be needed to hold the complete table. A table will
- appear on the screen showing how the maximum number of characters per line
- affects the number of columns of great-circle bearings that will be printed on
- each page and the number of pages that will be required. If your printer
- prints 80 characters on a line, only two columns will fit on a page. If your
- printer has more than one character width, you will probably want to specify
- the number of characters corresponding to the narrowest character width. For
- example, an OKIDATA ML92 printer can print 80 characters per line at 10
- characters per inch (cpi), 96 at 12 cpi, and 136 at 17.1 cpi. The best choice
- is 136; this allows four columns to be printed on each page. Be sure to
- specify an exact, instead of approximate, number of characters per line so
- MINIPROP can center the columns correctly on the page.
-
- You will next be asked if you want to send control codes to your printer.
- Control codes are special non-printable codes -- usually numbered 1 through 31
- (decimal) -- that tell your printer to change the way it prints. For example,
- control code 29 must be sent to the ML92 printer in the above example to cause
- it to switch to 136 characters per line. Control code 27 is often combined with
- other codes into what are called "escape sequences". Your printer user's
- manual will tell you what control codes or escape sequences, if any, are needed
- to set up your printer for the number of characters per line you have
- specified, to choose a type style, or for another purpose. If you answer "N"
- (you do not want to send control codes), printing will begin. If you answer
- "Y" (you want to send control codes), you will be directed to enter the first
- control code followed by <ENTER> or <RETURN>. Enter the integer decimal value
- of the first code you want sent. MINIPROP will send the code to your printer
- and will ask you for another control code. Enter as many codes as are required
- by your printer. Press only <ENTER> or <RETURN> to tell MINIPROP you are
- finished. Printing will begin. You may interrupt printing (and return to the
- MINIPROP Utilities menu) by pressing Control-X.
-
- The entries in the printed table will appear in alphabetical order of the
- prefix. (ASCII alphabetization is used. Numerals precede letters. The
- numeral 0 precedes the numeral 1.) The bearings are measured in degrees east
- of north, and are in the range 0 through 359 degrees. However, if Terminal A
- is at either the north or south pole, the west longitudes (0 through 359
- degrees) of the atlas entries are printed in the DEG column. Three asterisks
- (***) are printed in the DEG column when Terminal A and an atlas entry are co-
- located or when Terminal A and the atlas entry are antipodes.
-
- 14. Convert Version 1 MINIPROP.ATL to Version 2 MP.ATL
- ------------------------------------------------------
- (MINIPROP Utilities Choice 8)
- -----------------------------
-
- An atlas file containing latitudes and longitudes for all DXCC countries
- and several additional geographic locations is supplied with this version of
- MINIPROP. If you already have such an atlas, named MINIPROP.ATL, that you used
- with MINIPROP version 1, you can use it with version 2 but its internal format
- must be changed before it can be read by the new version of MINIPROP. This
- utility will do the conversion for you.
-
-
- -32-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- MINIPROP will look for your MINIPROP.ATL file on the logged disk drive
- and in the current directory that should also contain the MINIPROP version 2
- files. The new atlas file will be created in the same directory and will be
- named MP.ATL. The new MP.ATL will occupy somewhat more disk space than does
- your MINIPROP.ATL file; be sure there is enough space for it on your disk. Any
- existing file named MP.ATL will be renamed to MPBACKUP.ATL, and any existing
- file named MPBACKUP.ATL will be erased. Your MINIPROP.ATL file will remain
- intact. The conversion will abort if your atlas contains more than 800 entries
- or an invalid latitude or longitude, or if a prefix contains leading, trailing,
- or embedded spaces, is longer than six characters, or is all-numeric.
-
- When you select this utility, you will be asked if you want to proceed
- with the conversion. Answer "N" if you want to abort the conversion. The
- atlas will be converted if you answer "Y". The conversion may take a while if
- you have a large atlas or a slow disk drive.
-
- 15. References
- --------------
-
- 1. National Bureau of Standards, "Ionospheric Radio Propagation", Circular 462,
- 1948.
-
- 2. Davies, K., "Ionospheric Radio Propagation", National Bureau of Standards
- Monograph 80, 1965.
-
- 3. Lucas, D.L., and Haydon, G.W., "Predicting Statistical Performance Indexes
- for High Frequency Ionospheric Telecommunication Systems", Technical Report
- ITSA-1, Institute for Telecommunication Sciences and Aeronomy, Environmental
- Science Services Administration, 1966.
-
- 4. Barghausen, A.F., Finney, J.W., Proctor, L.L., and Schultz, L.D.,
- "Predicting Long-Term Operational Parameters of High-Frequency Sky-Wave
- Telecommunication Systems", Technical Report ERL 110-ITS 78, Institute for
- Telecommunication Sciences, Environmental Science Services Administration,
- 1969.
-
- 5. National Bureau of Standards, "Handbook for CRPL Ionospheric Predictions
- Based on Numerical Methods of Mapping", Handbook 90, 1962.
-
- 6. Leftin, M., "The Estimation of Maximum Usable Frequencies from World Maps of
- MUF(ZERO)F2, MUF(4000)F2 and MUF(2000)E", Telecommunications Research and
- Engineering Report 13, Institute for Telecommunication Sciences, Office of
- Telecommunications, 1971.
-
- 7. Rose, R.B., Martin, J.N., and Levine, P.H., "MINIMUF-3: A Simplified HF MUF
- Prediction Algorithm", Technical Report 186, Naval Ocean Systems Center, 1978.
-
- 8. Rose, R.B., and Martin, J.N., "MINIMUF-3.5: Improved Version of MINIMUF-3, A
- Simplified HF MUF Prediction Algorithm", Technical Document 201, Naval Ocean
- Systems Center, 1978.
-
- 9. Rose, R.B., "MINIMUF: A Simplified MUF-Predicting Program for
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